Since I already ran it anyway, here are two variations of the AI data. The first one
has the EU matches from Roster Royale removed. The second doesn't remove them but instead pretends like the
ping disadvantage causes Moist and G1 to play 300 rating worse. Why 300? Arbitrary. Moist
actually lost to a team 400 points below them, but that doesn't mean it was all due to ping.
G1 actually beat a team 200 points below them. 300 is probably generous to EU, as Moist should've
performed better even with the ping disadvantage.
AI predictions without Roster Royale EU Matches
Team Ranking (removed matches)
Player Ranking (removed matches)
Results simulation (removed matches)
Name
Top1
Top2
Top4
Top8
Top 11
Top14
Top 16
Karmine Corp
0.259785
0.405498
0.615732
0.890271
0.961095
0.992644
1
Gen.G Esports
0.102555
0.214196
0.420106
0.759761
0.904035
0.979823
1
FaZe Clan
0.183647
0.317252
0.525166
0.821895
0.925922
0.982043
1
The Club
0.002279
0.011915
0.056539
0.252616
0.546327
0.872597
1
Team Liquid
0.063538
0.151974
0.341405
0.69919
0.87729
0.97639
1
Version1
0.047299
0.117329
0.277105
0.60625
0.814136
0.949864
1
Oxygen Esports
0.062405
0.143416
0.310721
0.631236
0.817411
0.945321
1
Spacestation Gaming
0.094814
0.197367
0.391589
0.720404
0.877414
0.968974
1
Team Falcons
0.018229
0.055511
0.159
0.42767
0.671821
0.887187
1
G2 Esports
0.09894
0.200984
0.391242
0.711705
0.866799
0.963615
1
Quadrant
0.01651
0.052389
0.154768
0.428221
0.681431
0.896235
1
Team Secret
0.000179
0.001608
0.011573
0.07829
0.250609
0.593483
1
Pioneers
0.000177
0.001392
0.010777
0.078956
0.272358
0.666681
1
Moist Esports
0.046349
0.112656
0.258455
0.560287
0.76392
0.922468
1
PWR
0.001804
0.009135
0.041287
0.180243
0.408936
0.727702
1
James Cheese
0.00149
0.007378
0.034535
0.153005
0.360496
0.674973
1
AI predictions with ping disadvantage = -300 rating
