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Rocket League AI Winter Major Predictions Updates

Day 1

Published:

Edit: I built some code to manually update ratings during the major. However, that code was wrong somehow (still trying to figure out how). I reran the simulations now that all games from day 1 are available on Shift, and the new rankings should be correct. Mainly FaZe was way too low rated after their 1 loss. KC still took the favorites crown from them, but they're still second.

Original article here. These are the day one updates for groups scenarios and overall major predictions. Updated rankings are coming when the results are all on ShiftRLE.

Power Rankings

2000 2000 2500 2500 1 Uncertainty: 94 Rating: 2531 2531 Karmine Corp LogoKarmine CorpExoTiiK, itachi, Vatira 2 Uncertainty: 92 Rating: 2514 2514 FaZe Clan LogoFaZe ClanFirstkiller, Sypical, mist 3 Uncertainty: 95 Rating: 2478 2478 Complexity Gaming LogoComplexity Gamingajg, Reysbull, crr 4 Uncertainty: 94 Rating: 2468 2468 Gen.G Esports LogoGen.G Esportsnoly, ApparentlyJack, Chronic 5 Uncertainty: 94 Rating: 2462 2462 G2 Esports LogoG2 EsportsJKnaps, Chicago, Atomic 6 Uncertainty: 97 Rating: 2459 2459 Oxygen Esports LogoOxygen Esportsrise., Archie, Joreuz 7 Uncertainty: 95 Rating: 2451 2451 Team Liquid LogoTeam LiquidAcroniK., Atow., Oski 8 Uncertainty: 91 Rating: 2403 2403 G1 LogoG1AtomiK, MaRc_By_8., Dorito 9 Uncertainty: 93 Rating: 2292 2292 Team Vitality LogoTeam VitalityAlpha54, saizen, Radosin 10 Uncertainty: 105 Rating: 2281 2281 Team Falcons LogoTeam FalconsAhmad, oKhaliD, trk511 11 Uncertainty: 113 Rating: 2222 2222 Team Secret LogoTeam Secretnxghtt, Sad, kv1 12 Uncertainty: 89 Rating: 2131 2131 Dignitas LogoDignitasAndy, dreaz, Evoh 13 Uncertainty: 105 Rating: 2098 2098 KRÜ Esports LogoKRÜ Esportsdroppz, brad, drufinho 14 Uncertainty: 111 Rating: 1992 1992 Pioneers LogoPioneersScrub, hntr, bananahead 15 Uncertainty: 110 Rating: 1984 1984 Ground Zero Gaming LogoGround Zero GamingFiberr, Superlachie, kaka 16 Uncertainty: 120 Rating: 1847 1847 Gaimin Gladiators LogoGaimin GladiatorsMaxeew, OSM, LCT

Player Rankings

2500 2500 1 Uncertainty: 104 Rating: 2720 2720 FaZe ClanFirstkillerUS Flag 2 Uncertainty: 99 Rating: 2628 2628 Karmine CorpVatiraFR Flag 3 Uncertainty: 96 Rating: 2618 2618 G1AtomiKES Flag 4 Uncertainty: 92 Rating: 2591 2591 Complexity GamingcrrES Flag 5 Uncertainty: 94 Rating: 2562 2562 G2 EsportsAtomicUS Flag 6 Uncertainty: 99 Rating: 2525 2525 Oxygen EsportsArchieEN Flag 7 Uncertainty: 98 Rating: 2515 2515 Karmine CorpExoTiiKFR Flag 8 Uncertainty: 97 Rating: 2510 2510 Gen.G EsportsApparentlyJackEN Flag 9 Uncertainty: 96 Rating: 2504 2504 Team LiquidAtow.BE Flag 10 Uncertainty: 98 Rating: 2495 2495 Complexity GamingReysbullCL Flag 11 Uncertainty: 91 Rating: 2481 2481 Team LiquidOskiPL Flag 12 Uncertainty: 92 Rating: 2476 2476 Gen.G EsportsChronicUS Flag 13 Uncertainty: 102 Rating: 2458 2458 Oxygen Esportsrise.EN Flag 14 Uncertainty: 100 Rating: 2457 2457 Team VitalityAlpha54FR Flag 15 Uncertainty: 91 Rating: 2456 2456 Karmine CorpitachiMA Flag 16 Uncertainty: 90 Rating: 2456 2456 FaZe ClanmistUS Flag 17 Uncertainty: 91 Rating: 2415 2415 G2 EsportsChicagoUS Flag 18 Uncertainty: 93 Rating: 2413 2413 Gen.G EsportsnolyEN Flag 19 Uncertainty: 99 Rating: 2395 2395 G2 EsportsJKnapsCA Flag 20 Uncertainty: 92 Rating: 2388 2388 Oxygen EsportsJoreuzNL Flag 21 Uncertainty: 107 Rating: 2351 2351 Team Falconstrk511SA Flag 22 Uncertainty: 100 Rating: 2349 2349 Team LiquidAcroniK.PT Flag 23 Uncertainty: 97 Rating: 2338 2338 FaZe ClanSypicalUS Flag 24 Uncertainty: 93 Rating: 2319 2319 G1DoritoES Flag 25 Uncertainty: 101 Rating: 2319 2319 Complexity GamingajgAR Flag

AI Simulated Groups

A Team Logo FaZe Clan Team Logo G2 Esports Team Logo KRÜ Esports Team Logo G1
1st  56.7%  43.3%   0.0%   0.0%
2nd   6.5%  24.5%   0.0%  68.9%
3rd  36.7%  32.2%  12.9%  18.2%
4th   0.0%   0.0%  87.1%  12.9%
B Team Logo Karmine Corp Team Logo Team Vitality Team Logo Dignitas Team Logo Team Falcons
1st  86.9%  13.1%   0.0%   0.0%
2nd  13.1%  34.1%   0.0%  52.9%
3rd   0.0%  52.9%  25.2%  21.9%
4th   0.0%   0.0%  74.8%  25.2%
C Team Logo Team Secret Team Logo Team Liquid Team Logo Ground Zero Gaming Team Logo Gaimin Gladiators
1st  24.2%  75.8%   0.0%   0.0%
2nd  75.8%  24.2%   0.0%   0.0%
3rd   0.0%   0.0%  66.0%  34.0%
4th   0.0%   0.0%  34.0%  66.0%
D Team Logo Gen.G Esports Team Logo Oxygen Esports Team Logo Complexity Gaming Team Logo Pioneers
1st   0.0%   0.0% 100.0%   0.0%
2nd  51.2%  48.8%   0.0%   0.0%
3rd  48.8%  51.2%   0.0%   0.0%
4th   0.0%   0.0%   0.0% 100.0%

AI Simulated Major

Team Top 1 Top 2 Top 4 Top 8 Top 12 E(Points) E($)
Team Logo FaZe Clan FaZe Clan  17.6%  31.5%  53.7%  90.7% 100.0% 23.7 $ 37.2k
Team Logo Karmine Corp Karmine Corp  23.4%  40.2%  63.1%  94.6% 100.0% 25.8 $ 43.9k
Team Logo Team Secret Team Secret   0.4%   2.1%  10.4%  45.4% 100.0% 13.8 $ 12.8k
Team Logo Gen.G Esports Gen.G Esports   9.1%  18.6%  38.1%  71.5% 100.0% 19.6 $ 26.6k
Team Logo Team Liquid Team Liquid  10.0%  21.6%  47.5%  88.5% 100.0% 21.6 $ 29.9k
Team Logo Oxygen Esports Oxygen Esports   8.1%  17.3%  36.3%  70.2% 100.0% 19.1 $ 25.5k
Team Logo G2 Esports G2 Esports  10.4%  21.7%  44.7%  88.9% 100.0% 21.5 $ 29.7k
Team Logo Team Vitality Team Vitality   0.8%   3.4%  12.6%  38.5% 100.0% 13.7 $ 13.5k
Team Logo Complexity Gaming Complexity Gaming  15.1%  29.7%  59.0% 100.0% 100.0% 24.3 $ 36.7k
Team Logo Ground Zero Gaming Ground Zero Gaming   0.0%   0.0%   0.4%   6.6%  66.0%  9.1 $  7.2k
Team Logo Dignitas Dignitas   0.0%   0.1%   0.7%   3.9%  25.2%  7.3 $  4.8k
Team Logo KRÜ Esports KRÜ Esports   0.0%   0.0%   0.4%   3.8%  12.9%  6.8 $  3.9k
Team Logo Team Falcons Team Falcons   0.4%   1.5%   5.7%  21.3%  74.8% 10.9 $  9.6k
Team Logo G1 G1   4.8%  12.3%  27.3%  74.3%  87.1% 17.5 $ 20.5k
Team Logo Pioneers Pioneers   0.0%   0.0%   0.0%   0.0%   0.0%  6.0 $  3.0k
Team Logo Gaimin Gladiators Gaimin Gladiators   0.0%   0.0%   0.1%   1.9%  34.0%  7.5 $  5.1k